Exploratory spectral analysis of hydrological times series     

A. Ian McLeod  K. W. Hipel 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1995,9(3):171-205

Current methods of estimation of the univariate spectral density are reviewed and some improvements are made. It is suggested that spectral analysis may perhaps be best thought of as another exploratory data analysis (EDA) tool which complements, rather than competes with, the popular ARMA model building approach. A new diagnostic check for ARMA model adequacy based on the nonparametric spectral density is introduced. Additionally, two new algorithms for fast computation of the autoregressive spectral density function are presented. For improving interpretation of results, a new style of plotting the spectral density function is suggested. Exploratory spectral analyses of a number of hydrological time series are performed and some interesting periodicities are suggested for further investigation. The application of spectral analysis to determine the possible existence of long memory in natural time series is discussed with respect to long riverflow, treering and mud varve series. Moreover, a comparison of the estimated spectral densities suggests the ARMA models fitted previously to these datasets adequately describe the low frequency component. Finally, the software and data used in this paper are available by anonymous ftp from fisher.stats.uwo.ca.  相似文献   

A DIAGNOSTIC EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF EFFECTS OF CO_2 ENRICHMENT ON COTTON GROWTH,DEVELOPMENT AND YIELD          下载免费PDF全文

王春乙  白月明  温民 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1995,(4)

A series of experiments were conducted about the effects of different CO_2 concentrations andventilating time on cotton using OPT-1 open top chambers.The results show that.for all theventilating treatments,the development stages of cotton were advanced,plant height increased,thebiomass of root and stalk increased when CO_2 concentration increased: the number of bolls formed insummer was more than 85% of the total for the treatment of 700 ppm CO_2 concentration; single bollweight,the number of bolls per plant,ginned and unginned cotton weights,and stalk weightincreased obviously when CO_2 concentration increased,but the influences of CO_2 enrichment on theratio of ginned weight to the total weight of ginned and unginned cotton,fibre length and ginnedweight of 100-seed were small.  相似文献   

DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS AND VERIFICATION OF PREDICTION OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES DURING 1997 ~ 1998   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李清泉  赵宗慈 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2001,7(2):144-153

By comparing with ENSO events that ever happened in the history, the basic features and probable causes of the anomalous sea surface temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean during 1997 and 1998 have been analyzed diagnostically. It is found that the 1997/1998 El Nino had significant abnormalities and peculiarities. It differs from the previous El Ni?o events falling into the simple “eastern pattern” or “western pattern”. The predictions of 1997/1998 El Ni?o event have also been tested with an intermediate ocean-atmosphere coupled dynamic model. The results show that the skills of the 0～24 lead month forecasts for the warm event are all above 0.5. The predictions of the mature phase and the later stages of the warm event are better than those of the beginning phase.  相似文献   

外界条件变化对天然气水合物相平衡曲线及稳定带厚度的影响   总被引：5，自引：6，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

王淑红  宋海斌  颜文 《地球物理学进展》2005,20(3):761-768

目前，有关天然气水合物的相关研究越来越多，而天然气水合物相平衡曲线和稳定带厚度的研究也变得越来越重要.本文利用Sloan的CSMHYD程序研究了外界条件变化对天然气水合物相平衡曲线及稳定带厚度的影响.研究结果表明：当天然气水合物中含有其他气体时，除了氮气会使水合物稳定存在的区域变小外；其他气体都会使稳定区域变大，且甲烷含量越少，水合物越容易形成；对于本文中所提到的几种气体，丙烷和硫化氢对相平衡曲线的影响最大；另外，水合物稳定存在的区域会随着盐度增加而变小.地温梯度、水深、海底温度、气体组成和孔隙水盐度对稳定带厚度的影响不同，其中稳定带厚度与地温梯度呈指数相关关系，与水深呈对数相关关系，与海底温度、水合物中甲烷含量及气体组成呈线性相关关系.水深从1 000 m增加到4 000 m时，稳定带厚度增加了大约400 m；水深2 000 m情况下，地温梯度从0.02℃/m到0.1℃/m变化时，稳定带厚度减薄了大约660 m；底水温度从0~17℃的变化过程中，稳定带厚度减薄了大约1000m；在水合物中气体组成从纯甲烷到含20%乙烷时，稳定带厚度增加了大约170m；盐度在0~4.5 wt％的变化中，稳定带厚度减薄了大约130 m.由此可见，在这几种因素中，地温梯度和底水温度对稳定带厚度的影响较大.  相似文献   

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and their molecular diagnostic ratios in urban atmospheric respirable particulate matter   总被引：2，自引：5，他引：2  

María del Rosario Sienra  Nelson G. Rosazza  Margarita Prndez 《Atmospheric Research》2005,75(4):267-281

Atmospheric concentrations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Santiago de Chile city were evaluated to study particulate PAHs profiles during cold and spring weather periods. Urban atmospheric particulate matter PM10 was collected using High Volume PM10 samplers. Fifteen samples of 24 h during austral winter and 20 samples of 24 h during spring, 2000 were collected at two sampling sites (North–East and Central areas of the city) whose characteristics were representative of the prevailing conditions. Seventeen PAHs were quantified and total PAHs concentration ranged from 1.39 to 59.98 ng m⁻³, with a seasonal variation (winter vs. spring ratio) from 0.5 to 12.6 ng m⁻³. Molecular diagnostic ratios were used to characterize and identify PAHs emission sources such as combustion and biogenic emissions. Results showed that the major sources of respirable organic aerosol PM10 in Santiago are mobile and stationary ones.  相似文献   

鄂西—渝东地区热史恢复及烃源岩成烃史   总被引：16，自引：4，他引：16  

卢庆治  马永生  郭彤楼  胡圣标 《地质科学》2007,42(1):189-198

根据鄂西—渝东地区镜质体反射率数据进行的热史恢复结果表明:该区在晚二叠世初期达到最高古热流(可达68~78mW/m²,地表热流),从晚二叠世初到现今古热流持续降低,在侏罗纪末期古热流平均为~54mW/m²(地表热流);鄂西—渝东地区中生界与新生界之间不整合面的剥蚀量可达1700~4000m。成烃史研究表明:鄂西—渝东地区志留系烃源岩在晚志留世—早二叠世进入生油高峰,在早-中三叠世进入生气期,中侏罗世晚期进入过成熟干气阶段,快速生烃时期是在晚志留世、二叠纪—中三叠世及早-中侏罗世;而二叠系烃源岩在早三叠世进入生油门限,于中-晚三叠世达到生油高峰,在中-晚侏罗世进入生气期,晚侏罗世晚期进入过成熟,快速生烃时期是在早-中三叠世及侏罗纪。  相似文献   

新公式计算岩层真厚度的Excel算法     

徐少康 《化工矿产地质》2007,29(4):222-226

使用软件1,将岩层序号、导线的方位和倾角、岩层的倾向、倾角和两层面切割导线处的读数分别输入A、F、G、H、I、J、K列,先后分别沿M、N列从第2行单元格开始拖动鼠标,岩层真厚度数据和累积厚度即刻计算出来,进一步可计岩组或岩性段的真厚度;将导线的序号、方位、倾角、长度分别输入W、X、Y、Z列,先后分别沿AB、AC、AD、AE、AF、AG、AH列,从第2行单元格开始拖动鼠标,导线的水平投影长度、纵座标增量及其累积值、横座标增量及其累积值、高程增量及其累积值即刻计算出来。使用软件2,在输入原始数据的同时,结果便计算出来。  相似文献   

乌鲁木齐市低空大气逆温特征分析   总被引：11，自引：1，他引：11  

刘增强  郑玉萍  李景林  陈洁  闫战江 《干旱区地理》2007,30(3):51-356

为了分析乌鲁木齐低层大气逆温变化特征,通过利用乌鲁木齐市气象站2000-2004年的探空观测资料,从逐日探空原始记录中提取得到贴地逆温、脱地逆温的底部、顶部高度、温度,分析它们的变化情况。乌鲁木齐市低空大气温度层结全年以弱稳定为主,一年四季都存在逆温层。冬季是逆温特征最为显著的季节,强度最强,平均为1.06℃/100 m。冬季逆温发生频率最高,平均为89%,贴地逆温厚度最厚,平均为860 m,脱地逆温底高平均为534 m,顶高平均为1 187 m。由于蒙古反气旋的冷空气在准噶尔盆地堆积,使得乌鲁木齐冬季近地面大气稳定。  相似文献   

Fhe application of electromagnetic-induction on the measurement of sea ice thickness in the Antarctic     

Guo Jingxue Sun Bo Tian Gang 《应用地球物理》2007,4(3):214-220

As an important component of the cryosphere, sea ice is very sensitive to climate change. The study of sea ice physics needs accurate sea ice thickness. This paper presents an electromagnetic induction （EM） technique which can be used to measure the sea ice thickness distribution efficiently and its successful application in the Antarctic Neila Fjord. Based on the electrical properties of sea ice and seawater and the application of electromagnetic field theory, this technique can accurately detect the distance between the EM instrument and the ice/water interface to measure the sea ice thickness. Analyzing the apparent conductivity data obtained by the electromagnetic induction technique and drill-hole measurements at same location allows the construction of a transform equation for the apparent conductivity and sea ice thickness. The verification of the calculated sea ice thickness using this equation indicates that the electromagnetic induction technique is able to determine reliable sea ice thickness with an average relative error of only 5.5%. The ice thickness profiles show the sea ice distribution in Neila Fjord is basically level with a thickness of 0.8 - 1.4 m.  相似文献   

电磁感应技术在南极海冰厚度探测中的研究与应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

郭井学  孙波  田钢 《应用地球物理》2007,4(3)

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